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Will surge prices be crazy on NYE? How can I avoid them?

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I am planning to use Uber or Lyft on New Year's Eve this year while going out with friends, but one of them told me to be careful because they've seen SURGE prices go crazy in the past. Is this something I should worry about or are they just being paranoid? The last thing I want to happen is to have a super expensive Uber or Lyft ride, but I also don't want to drive that night. Any tips?